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世运电路学习笔记

  • 2026-02-04 20:06:27
世运电路学习笔记
世运电路主要是做PCB板的，原先产能是500万，后续要扩张到800万。
公司最大的亮点，还是紧紧的抱住了特斯拉的大腿，而这也也让他顺势进入了人形机器人，AI,商业航天和储能等领域。
公司目前是业绩快增+贝塔纯正加成的情况。
我直接贴个券商的数数。
❗【天风汽车】世运电路更新：SPX收购XAI最受益标的-0203 ——————————— 1、SPX与XAI合并：用AI重构太空探索效率 Starship将AI硬件送入太空，解决地面数据中心的能源和冷却瓶颈，为xAI提供无限扩展的算力资源。  同时xAI与Starlink卫星网络深度融合，部署轨道数据中心，实现低成本、高算力密度的太空AI计算。  两者合并后估值有望达1.5万-2万亿美元。  2、为什么是世运电路？——从dojo到AI芯片，未缺席的PCB供应商 AI作为训推一体芯片需求场景已从智驾、机器人拓展到太空算力，相关CPB需求有望实现指数级增长。  智驾&机器人：预计27年车200万辆（考虑cybercab）、机器人100万辆，PCB ASP1600（单机2颗），考虑库存约800万颗，世运30%份额，则对应18亿收入。  地面数据中心：100万张GPU，PCB ASP 4k，30%份额，对应12亿收入。  太空数据中心：合并后AI5芯片转向空间计算——根据Musk的表述，AI5/AI6适用于低GW/year规模，假设1GW，单芯片功耗300w，对应芯片需求300万颗，假设ASP4k，120亿市场，世运30%份额对应40亿收入。  更关键的是：AI芯片未来每9个月迭代一次的升级曲线（AI5设计近完成，AI6早期阶段，AI7-9规划中），带来持续的价格弹性。Musk还计划自建晶圆厂（初始产能10万片/月，扩至100万片），确保自身芯片产能。  3、盈利预测与估值 预计26、27年净利润13、25亿，第一目标看27年25X 625亿市值。中期目标：Musk家族（特斯拉+SPX+AI）合计3万亿美元估值，按照2% PCB价值量占比——4千亿的PCB市场规模，假设世运占25-50%份额，对应1-2千亿的目标市值，长期空间打开，继续重点推荐。
总体来说，公司目前下游所有赛道都景气度很高，而且又有特斯拉的加持， 所以是非常好的炒作标的，业绩也很难证伪。
定量来看，公司目前510E市值，27年按偏乐观算20E业绩，也就是25倍这样。公司账上净现金40E，公司产能投入期已过，自由现金流大于净利润，数还是比较实际的。去年做了股权转让后，也有国资背景。
总体来说，公司还是很不错的，又有了特斯拉的扶持，就是估值这波确实是有点太贵了。不过会纳入股票池，后续长期追踪，我觉得有希望在他身上挣到钱
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  135. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/vendor/topthink/framework/src/think/contract/TemplateHandlerInterface.php ( 1.60 KB )
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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/runtime/temp/6df755f970a38e704c5414acbc6e8bcd.php ( 12.06 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000674s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_67808;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000730s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000903s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.003015s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000595s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000364s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000683s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 465665 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000893s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770258521 WHERE `id` = 465665 [ RunTime:0.014664s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000362s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 465665 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.006599s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 465665 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005424s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 465665 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.009220s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 465665 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.012072s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 465665 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.005149s ]
0.208490s