当前位置：首页>学习笔记>量化学习笔记之三:基于神经网络算法的十年期国债收益率周度预测模型-16页(附下载)

量化学习笔记之三:基于神经网络算法的十年期国债收益率周度预测模型-16页(附下载)

  • 2026-04-13 15:44:50
量化学习笔记之三:基于神经网络算法的十年期国债收益率周度预测模型-16页(附下载)
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本篇报告为光大固收团队量化学习笔记的第三篇,基于对前期研究究的持续优化,我们正式发布基于神经网络算法的十年期国债收益率周度预测模型。模型基于层次聚类算法与簇内信息系数(IC)择优构建因子筛选机制,以未来5个交易日后的中债十年期国债收益率的涨跌方向为目标变量,搭建动态训练的神经网络分类模型,实现模型参数随时间滚动更新。模型对2026年1月4日起的10Y国债收益率进行逐日滚动实测,截至2026年3月27日,样本外漂测试集单日预测胜率达73.68%。

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/runtime/temp/6df755f970a38e704c5414acbc6e8bcd.php ( 12.06 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/no.67808.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000720s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_67808;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001360s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000700s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000673s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001237s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001917s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001577s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 480516 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005863s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776066412 WHERE `id` = 480516 [ RunTime:0.012815s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000692s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 480516 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001161s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 480516 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004734s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 480516 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.009290s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 480516 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.032246s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 480516 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002335s ]
0.167816s