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20260519投资学习笔记-加仓腾讯

  • 2026-05-19 06:04:38
20260519投资学习笔记-加仓腾讯
#本周操作
1、加仓腾讯：这算是用AI指导投资的第一个尝试，基于13日的Q1财报和电话会议纪要，反复用几个AI助手按照巴菲特芒格老唐DCF等方法理论进行测试，把隐含机会风险反复测算后在450左右选择加仓。
2、加仓招行：对招行还是有一些感情，感觉还能再进一步。虽然目前国内消费不景气影响赚钱，但是5+股息率还是有一些诱人。
3、清仓美的：没有原因，相较小企鹅的诱人估值见异思迁了。
#思考感悟
1、AI这轮到底是炒作还是有真实的业绩支持，看到了很多人的观点。但是我还是对腾讯财报电话会议的说法比较认同，现在C端还没有一个明确的价值形态，更多还是看B端效率提升场景的价值。简单来说，普通人不太会因为chat来付费，只有提升工作效率这件事产生了“性价比”才能激发大家的付费热情。
2、企业的“护城河”到底是什么？腾讯用微信建立的社交关系护城河，这轮AI浪潮能颠覆吗？至少从目前来看，跟AI问答聊天、日常办公等等场景，主要还是在颠覆办公软件、IT系统、搜索引擎、内容创作的生意，目前也还看不到用“AI社交”替代“熟人社交”的案例。那么衍生出来的问题是，游戏、刷剧、短视频等等非“效率提升”的娱乐场景，好像对于消费端也没有很大的替代效应，只是生产端原来手搓的模式可能会被AI替代。当然这个也许只是暂时的，未来什么样都不一定，哪天AI统治一切的时候，人已经不再是世界的主体，人与人的联系可能也就不是那么重要了。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000529s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_67808;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000963s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000397s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000289s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000639s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000256s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000747s ]
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  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1779173687 WHERE `id` = 489635 [ RunTime:0.010985s ]
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  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 489635 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004968s ]
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  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489635 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001407s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489635 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001009s ]
0.102868s